Sport Picks
FK Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils Prediction & H2H Stats
Latvia
1. Liga 
Match Events
3'
3'
Messina M.
46'
46'
Feldmans M.
58'
58'
Lapins J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FK Smiltene lately — more wins on the board than JFK Ventspils.
- Win probability leans FK Smiltene's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Smiltene | JFK Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs FK Smiltene
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils
2:2
May 11, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs FK Smiltene
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Smiltene Compare
Top Goalscorer Lapins J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dumins E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
JFK Ventspils Compare
Top Goalscorer Messina M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Feldmans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Smiltene 47 / 100
JFK Ventspils 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Smiltene JFK Ventspils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
FK Smiltene's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
JFK Ventspils let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: JFK Ventspils has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Smiltene VS JFK Ventspils
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Smiltene
(Home) 19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2 FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1 Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2 FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6 FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2 FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1 Riga Mariners
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6 FK Metta
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4 Valmiera
25 Jul
FK Smiltene
3 : 5 RFS 2
19 Jul
FK Smiltene
1 : 0 Rezekne
Page 1 of 3
JFK Ventspils
(Away) 26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0 JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0 Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0 JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1 JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1 Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0 JFK Ventspils
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0 JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1 JFK Ventspils
25 Jul
Riga Mariners
1 : 1 JFK Ventspils
11 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3 JFK Ventspils
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89:17 | 54 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60:23 | 51 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50:23 | 47 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Marupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43:42 | 26 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:37 | 26 |
| 9 | Super Nova 2 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 2 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27:60 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Smiltene | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29:57 | 16 |
| 12 | RFS 2 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34:62 | 15 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21:41 | 15 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17:64 | 6 |
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