Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
FK Smiltene host Rezekne in the Nakotnes liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FK Smiltene at 1.13 goals for, 2.75 against; Rezekne at 1.13 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, FK Smiltene have won 2 to Rezekne's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.94, favoring Rezekne. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Smiltene haven't matched Rezekne's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Smiltene | Rezekne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rezekne let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
FK Smiltene's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Rezekne registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Leevon PPK | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:20 | 20 |
| 6 | Marupe | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanste | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20:24 | 13 |
| 10 | JFK Ventspils | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 11 | RFS 2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:31 | 8 |
| 13 | Rezekne | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:36 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Smiltene | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12:33 | 4 |