Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Smiltene vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cakurs B.

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Smiltene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
12%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rezekne haven't matched FK Smiltene's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on FK Smiltene taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene Rezekne
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.45 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Rezekne
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Rezekne
2:2
Jul 6, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs FK Smiltene
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Rezekne
3:3
May 25, 2024 1. Liga
Rezekne vs FK Smiltene
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakurs B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 83 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FK Smiltene's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Rezekne registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS Rezekne
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

Rezekne

(Away)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
11 Tukums 2000 2 20 4 3 13 26:60 15
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 20 3 6 11 21:40 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
Promotion - Virsliga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Virsliga (Relegation)