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FK Smiltene vs RTU

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1. Liga 2017
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

2 - 4
FT
RTU Logo

RTU

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2017 game between FK Smiltene and RTU finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RTU.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
21%
RTU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • RTU carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 14%
RTU Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene RTU
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.42 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs RTU
3:3
Sep 1, 2018 1. Liga
RTU vs FK Smiltene
5:0
Sep 30, 2017 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs RTU
2:4
Jun 10, 2017 1. Liga
RTU vs FK Smiltene
0:1
Aug 20, 2016 1. Liga
RTU vs FK Smiltene
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 31 / 100
RTU 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene RTU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FK Smiltene scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

RTU has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: RTU registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
Page 1 of 7

RTU

(Away)
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
27 Jun
RTU
1 : 2
JFC Viola
23 Jul
Dobele Allegro
3 : 2
RTU
21 Oct
RTU
2 : 2
Grobina
13 Oct
Super Nova
3 : 0
RTU
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)