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FK Smiltene vs Super Nova 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Rosa F.
90' Event
Ositis K.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between FK Smiltene and Super Nova 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FK Smiltene
20%
Draws
20%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Super Nova 2 have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — FK Smiltene are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Model gives Super Nova 2 a 20% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene Super Nova 2
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs FK Smiltene
0:2
May 13, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Super Nova 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ositis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 26 / 100
Super Nova 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 21 outings.

FK Smiltene's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Super Nova 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS Super Nova 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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