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FK Sveikata Kybartai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Sveikata Kybartai play FK Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuanian Cup. FK Kauno Zalgiris are favorites here. Recently, FK Sveikata Kybartai averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. FK Kauno Zalgiris averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. In past meetings, FK Sveikata Kybartai won 0, FK Kauno Zalgiris won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for FK Sveikata Kybartai and 2.81 for FK Kauno Zalgiris. This points to a FK Kauno Zalgiris double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FK Sveikata Kybartai
19%
Draws
65%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Sveikata Kybartai picked up more points recently compared to FK Kauno Zalgiris.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
FK Sveikata Kybartai Clean Sheet 10%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Sveikata Kybartai FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 15 32
Wins 3 20
Draws 1 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.07 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FK Sveikata Kybartai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
Jul 14, 2020 Lithuanian Cup
FK Sveikata Kybartai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Sveikata Kybartai Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Racic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karashima Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Sveikata Kybartai 16 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Sveikata Kybartai FK Kauno Zalgiris

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Sveikata Kybartai attacking → ← attacking FK Kauno Zalgiris

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Sveikata Kybartai scored in 60% of their last 15 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

FK Sveikata Kybartai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 68
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88