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FK Tver vs Zvezda St Peterburg

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Tver play Zvezda St Peterburg in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Tver averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Zvezda St Peterburg averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, FK Tver won 3, Zvezda St Peterburg won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for FK Tver and 1.31 for Zvezda St Peterburg. This points to a Zvezda St Peterburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FK Tver
32%
Draws
35%
Zvezda St Peterburg
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Zvezda St Peterburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Tver picked up more points recently compared to Zvezda St Peterburg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
FK Tver Clean Sheet 18%
Zvezda St Peterburg Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Tver Zvezda St Peterburg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 14
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs Zvezda St Peterburg
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs Zvezda St Peterburg
1:1
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FK Tver
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs Zvezda St Peterburg
1:0
Jun 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs FK Tver
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Tver Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponomarev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zvezda St Peterburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaytsev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Tver 33 / 100
Zvezda St Peterburg 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Tver Zvezda St Peterburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zvezda St Peterburg or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Tver attacking → ← attacking Zvezda St Peterburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Tver scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Zvezda St Peterburg let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FK Tver went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zvezda St Peterburg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 35
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63