Sport Picks

Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016

Nurafshon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Yozyovon play Nurafshon in the Pro Liga 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Yozyovon averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Nurafshon averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, FK Yozyovon won 1, Nurafshon won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 1, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for FK Yozyovon and 1.69 for Nurafshon. This points to a FK Yozyovon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

FK Yozyovon

21%

Draws

35%

Nurafshon

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FK Yozyovon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

FK Yozyovon picked up more points recently compared to Nurafshon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

FK Yozyovon Clean Sheet 13%

Nurafshon Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Yozyovon	Nurafshon
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	6
Draws	4	7
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	1.47	1.07
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2017 Pro Liga

FK Yozyovon vs Nurafshon

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Apr 4, 2017 Pro Liga

Nurafshon vs FK Yozyovon

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Oct 5, 2016 Pro Liga

FK Yozyovon vs Nurafshon

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

May 5, 2016 Pro Liga

Nurafshon vs FK Yozyovon

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Yozyovon 42 / 100

Nurafshon 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Yozyovon Nurafshon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Yozyovon or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Yozyovon attacking → ← attacking Nurafshon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Yozyovon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Nurafshon let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

FK Yozyovon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nurafshon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 25

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Samarkand	32	26	4	2	86:19	82
2	Norin Haqqulobod	32	24	3	5	63:29	75
3	Sementchi Kuvasoy	32	23	5	4	69:19	74
4	Uz Dong Ju Andijon	32	17	4	11	67:58	55
5	Osiyo Tashkent	32	15	6	11	63:46	51
6	Nasaf Qarshi II	32	15	1	16	61:62	46
7	Xorazm Urganch	32	12	6	14	56:50	42
8	Nurafshon	32	13	2	17	56:61	41
9	Mashal Muborak II	32	11	8	13	46:59	41
10	Aral	32	12	2	18	71:88	38
11	FK Yozyovon	32	11	5	16	58:76	38
12	Zaamin	32	10	6	16	44:59	36
13	Lokomotiv BFK	32	10	5	17	55:66	35
14	Khotira 79	32	10	3	19	51:78	33
15	Gijduvon	32	9	5	18	51:93	32
16	FK Kasansay	32	9	4	19	42:63	31
17	Pakhtakor II	32	7	7	18	49:62	28
18	Oktepa Tashkent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0