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Flacara Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flacara Moreni host Progresul Draganesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Flacara Moreni at 2.72 goals for, 1.24 against; Progresul Draganesti at 1.57 for, 1.71 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.50 - 1.19) back Flacara Moreni to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Flacara Moreni
30%
Draws
27%
Progresul Draganesti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flacara Moreni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flacara Moreni come out ahead of Progresul Draganesti on wins alone.
  • Flacara Moreni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Flacara Moreni Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Draganesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flacara Moreni Progresul Draganesti
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2.72 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flacara Moreni 85 / 100
Progresul Draganesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flacara Moreni Progresul Draganesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flacara Moreni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flacara Moreni scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Progresul Draganesti let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Solid form: Flacara Moreni remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Progresul Draganesti has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flacara Moreni VS Progresul Draganesti
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flacara Moreni

(Home)
02 Oct
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 5
Flacara Moreni
25 Sept
Flacara Moreni
6 : 0
Tunari
22 Sept
FC Pucioasa
0 : 1
Flacara Moreni
18 Sept
Flacara Moreni
1 : 1
Paulesti
12 Sept
AS Vointa Crevedia
1 : 3
Flacara Moreni
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Draganesti

(Away)
03 Oct
Paulesti
2 : 3
Progresul Draganesti
26 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
2 : 2
Urban Titu
22 Sept
Petrolul Berca
3 : 0
Progresul Draganesti
19 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
4 : 2
CSO Plopeni
11 Sept
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 1
Progresul Draganesti
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 8 7 1 0 27:7 22
2 Tunari 8 5 2 1 16:11 17
3 Blejoi 8 4 2 2 17:9 14
4 Petrolul Berca 7 4 1 2 18:15 13
5 Progresul Draganesti 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
6 AS Vointa Crevedia 7 3 1 3 17:14 10
7 CSO Plopeni 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
8 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 8 2 2 4 9:19 8
9 FC Pucioasa 7 1 3 3 6:6 6
10 Urban Titu 7 1 3 3 8:14 6
11 Viitorul Corbeanca 8 1 3 4 4:10 6
12 Paulesti 8 0 2 6 4:15 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 (Relegation Group)