Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo Arcoverde vs Decisao

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo Arcoverde in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo Arcoverde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Flamengo Arcoverde
20%
Draws
64%
Decisao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Decisao lately — more wins on the board than Flamengo Arcoverde.
  • Model gives Decisao a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 20%
Decisao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo Arcoverde Decisao
Matches Played 31 46
Wins 15 18
Draws 1 11
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Decisao
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Flamengo Arcoverde
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo Arcoverde 12 / 100
Decisao 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo Arcoverde Decisao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Decisao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo Arcoverde scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Decisao let in goals in 74% of their last 46 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Decisao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Decisao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo Arcoverde

(Home)
24 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 4
Retro
18 Feb
Maguary
6 : 2
Flamengo Arcoverde
08 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
2 : 3
Afogados da Ingazeira
02 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 3
Sport Recife
28 Jan
Petrolina
1 : 1
Flamengo Arcoverde
Page 1 of 7

Decisao

(Away)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afogados da Ingazeira 11 10 1 0 28:4 31
2 Academica Vitoria 11 9 0 2 36:10 27
3 Flamengo Arcoverde 11 9 0 2 27:8 27
4 Decisao 11 7 0 4 16:10 21
5 Vera Cruz 11 6 2 3 31:19 20
6 Ibis Sport Club 11 4 3 4 19:23 15
7 Atletico Torres 11 4 1 6 14:17 13
8 Jaguar 11 3 1 7 13:24 10
9 Atletico PE 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
10 Centro Limoeirense 11 2 1 8 10:26 7
11 1º de Maio 11 1 2 8 11:31 5
12 Ferroviario do Cabo 11 1 2 8 9:37 5
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)