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Flamengo Arcoverde vs Decisao

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo Arcoverde in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo Arcoverde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Flamengo Arcoverde
11%
Draws
80%
Decisao
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Decisao lately — more wins on the board than Flamengo Arcoverde.
  • Model gives Decisao a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 20%
Decisao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo Arcoverde Decisao
Matches Played 31 49
Wins 15 20
Draws 1 11
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Decisao
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Flamengo Arcoverde
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo Arcoverde 12 / 100
Decisao 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo Arcoverde Decisao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo Arcoverde scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Decisao let in goals in 76% of their last 49 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Decisao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Decisao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375