Sport Picks

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Flamengo PI vs Caicara

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo PI host Caicara in the Piauiense 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Flamengo PI at 0.66 goals for, 2.03 against; Caicara at 0.81 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Caicara slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.63) back Caicara to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Flamengo PI
30%
Draws
12%
Caicara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo PI come out ahead of Caicara on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Flamengo PI taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Caicara here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Flamengo PI Clean Sheet 20%
Caicara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo PI Caicara
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 4 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.66 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Flamengo PI
0:0
Sep 25, 2024 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Caicara
1:4
Sep 15, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Flamengo PI
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo PI 85 / 100
Caicara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo PI Caicara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caicara has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Flamengo PI went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Caicara has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo PI VS Caicara
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo PI

(Home)
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Flamengo PI
0 : 0
TEC
22 Oct
TEC
3 : 2
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

Caicara

(Away)
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
11 Oct
Caicara
0 : 0
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Julho Esporte 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Flamengo PI 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Comercial PI 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
5 River-PI 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 Caicara 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)