Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ U20 vs Aster Itaqua U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha 2024
Fri, Jan 19, 2024
2 - 1
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Martins G.
48' Event
Weliton
1' Event
Cunha da Silva D.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Flamengo RJ U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Flamengo RJ U20
17%
Draws
13%
Aster Itaqua U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Flamengo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ U20 come out ahead of Aster Itaqua U20 on wins alone.
  • Flamengo RJ U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Flamengo RJ U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Flamengo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Aster Itaqua U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ U20 Aster Itaqua U20
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2024 Copinha
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Aster Itaqua U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weliton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aster Itaqua U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ U20 67 / 100
Aster Itaqua U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ U20 Aster Itaqua U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ U20 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Flamengo RJ U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aster Itaqua U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ U20 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ U20

(Home)
01 Jul
Flamengo RJ U20
2 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jun
Corinthians U20
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ U20
20 Jun
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
17 Jun
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 1
Cuiaba U20
09 Jun
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 0
Athletico-PR U20
Page 1 of 7

Aster Itaqua U20

(Away)
10 Jan
Aster Itaqua U20
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC U20
07 Jan
Aster Itaqua U20
0 : 2
Falcon U20
04 Jan
Aster Itaqua U20
4 : 1
Dourados U20
14 Jun
Agua Santa U20
3 : 1
Aster Itaqua U20
08 Jun
Aster Itaqua U20
0 : 3
Corinthians U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tanabi U201
Athletico-PR U202
Catanduva U201
Ponte Preta U202
Coimbra Sports U202
Figueirense U201
Gremio U204
Mirassol U201
Botafogo RJ U200
Novorizontino U202
Chapecoense-SC U204
Tiradentes-PI U205
Ferroviaria U203
Gama U202
Ceara U201
Sao Paulo U202
Atletico GO U205
Marilia AC U201
Corinthians U203
Guarani U202
Fortaleza U204
Internacional U200
XV de Jau U200
CRB U201
Fluminense U202
Ituano U203
Criciuma U202
Sao-Carlense U201
Capital DF U204
Capivariano U200
Desportivo U202
America MG U203
Botafogo SP U202
Floresta EC U201
Atletico-MG U200
Sfera U201
Flamengo RJ U201
Nautico U200
Piracicaba U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U202
Bragantino U200
Taubate U201
Cuiaba U200
AC Guaratingueta U201
Aster Itaqua U201
Osasco Sporting U200
Palmeiras U203
Sport Recife U201
EC Juventude U201
Agua Santa U202
Santos U204
EC Sao Bernardo U200
Portuguesa U202
Nova Mutum EC U200
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201
Madureira U200
Vasco U201
Vitoria U204
Ibrachina U204
Macapa U200
Coritiba U201
Retro U200
Avai U200
CA Juventus U201
1/16-finals
Athletico-PR U202
Ponte Preta U201
Coimbra Sports U202
Gremio U204
Novorizontino U203
Tiradentes-PI U200
Ferroviaria U201
Sao Paulo U202
Atletico GO U201
Corinthians U204
Fortaleza U200
CRB U201
Ituano U203
Criciuma U200
Capital DF U200
America MG U202
Botafogo SP U201
Sfera U200
Flamengo RJ U203
EC Sao Jose (PA) U201
Taubate U200
AC Guaratingueta U202
Aster Itaqua U201
Palmeiras U200
Agua Santa U202
Santos U204
Portuguesa U200
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201
Vitoria U201
Ibrachina U202
Coritiba U201
CA Juventus U200
1/8-finals
Athletico-PR U205
Gremio U203
Novorizontino U203
Sao Paulo U202
Corinthians U206
CRB U200
Ituano U201
America MG U202
Botafogo SP U201
Flamengo RJ U202
AC Guaratingueta U201
Aster Itaqua U202
Santos U200
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U203
Ibrachina U201
Coritiba U202
Quarter-finals
Athletico-PR U201
Novorizontino U203
Corinthians U202
America MG U200
Flamengo RJ U202
Aster Itaqua U201
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201
Coritiba U200
Semi-finals
Novorizontino U200
Corinthians U203
Flamengo RJ U201
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U202
Final
Corinthians U201
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U200