Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Charles
48' Event
Lucas Paqueta
50'
Lucas Paqueta

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Flamengo RJ and Corinthians finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Flamengo RJ
20%
Draws
6%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Corinthians
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Supercopa do Brasil
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Flamengo RJ
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Paqueta
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Negao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
Corinthians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Corinthians
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
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Corinthians

(Away)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)