Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Carrascal J.
29'
Lucas Paqueta
32'
Andreas Pereira

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Flamengo RJ and Palmeiras finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Flamengo RJ
30%
Draws
34%
Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 18%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Palmeiras
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras
3:2
May 25, 2025 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Aug 11, 2024 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allan Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 36 / 100
Palmeiras 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flamengo RJ scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Flamengo RJ stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Palmeiras
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2
Flamengo RJ
08 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Lausanne
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2
River Plate
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Coritiba
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Palmeiras

(Away)
31 May
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
24 May
Flamengo RJ
0 : 3
Palmeiras
21 May
Palmeiras
0 : 1
Cerro Porteno
17 May
Palmeiras
1 : 1
Cruzeiro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1995529:2432
4Bragantino1993726:2030
5Athletico-PR1893624:1830
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)