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Flamengo SE vs Boca Junior

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE Logo

Flamengo SE

2 - 0
FT
Boca Junior Logo

Boca Junior

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Flamengo SE and Boca Junior finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Flamengo SE
15%
Draws
85%
Boca Junior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boca Junior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Flamengo SE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo SE's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 68%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SE Boca Junior
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.09 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs Boca Junior
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs Boca Junior
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SE 86 / 100
Boca Junior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SE Boca Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boca Junior conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Boca Junior has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Flamengo SE scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SE VS Boca Junior
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SE

(Home)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1
Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
09 Oct
Flamengo SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 5

Boca Junior

(Away)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
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