Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo SP U20 vs XV de Jau U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo SP U20 play XV de Jau U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flamengo SP U20 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. XV de Jau U20 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Flamengo SP U20 won 0, XV de Jau U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Flamengo SP U20 and 1.00 for XV de Jau U20. This points to a XV de Jau U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Flamengo SP U20
15%
Draws
48%
XV de Jau U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: XV de Jau U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo SP U20 picked up more points recently compared to XV de Jau U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Flamengo SP U20 Clean Sheet 23%
XV de Jau U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP U20 XV de Jau U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Paulista U20
Flamengo SP U20 vs XV de Jau U20
0:2
May 24, 2025 Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 vs Flamengo SP U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo SP U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

XV de Jau U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lino C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP U20 38 / 100
XV de Jau U20 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP U20 XV de Jau U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: XV de Jau U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flamengo SP U20 attacking → ← attacking XV de Jau U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

XV de Jau U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Flamengo SP U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

XV de Jau U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 44
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U20541010:113
2CA Juventus U20540115:512
3Corinthians U2043104:010
4Santos U2042204:08
5Portuguesa U2042117:47
6Ponte Preta U2052125:67
7Portuguesa Santista U2052129:117
8Jabaquara U2052033:46
9Sao Bento U2051135:74
10Uniao Suzano U2041124:74
11Sertaozinho U2041121:44
12Itapirense U2041035:93
13America SP U2051041:103
14Mirassol U2050234:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20550015:215
2Osasco Sporting U2054019:612
3Desportivo U2054016:312
4Sao Paulo U2043107:010
5Aguai U2062227:118
6Santo Andre U2062138:87
7Uniao Sao Joao U2061325:56
8Paulinense U2061326:86
9Novorizontino U2051227:65
10EC Sao Bernardo U2041214:65
11Sao Caetano U2061147:124
12Bandeirante U2061144:104
13Botafogo SP U2050415:64
14Piracicaba U2050414:64
15Velo Clube U2060424:94
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2044009:012
2Bragantino U20440012:412
3Guarani U2054019:512
4Agua Santa U20632113:711
5Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
6Sfera U20630314:69
7Osasco Audax U2062226:58
8XV de Jau U2052124:67
9Flamengo SP U2062045:126
10Capivariano U2051315:66
11Ituano U2051316:86
12Tanabi U2061237:115
13Maua FC U2061234:115
14Referencia U2050144:111
15Porto Football U2050140:71