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Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Enzo Cavacante
77' Event
Kaique Clemente

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Flamengo SP and Guarulhos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Flamengo SP
15%
Draws
31%
Guarulhos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Flamengo SP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 17%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP Guarulhos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
0:0
May 18, 2025 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP
0:2
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Enzo Cavacante
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaique Clemente
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guarulhos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP 31 / 100
Guarulhos 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP Guarulhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guarulhos has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Flamengo SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SP VS Guarulhos
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SP

(Home)
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
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Guarulhos

(Away)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)