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Flamengo SP vs Paulinense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Foguinho
77' Event
Facundini T.
88'
Kaique Clemente

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Flamengo SP and Paulinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Flamengo SP
15%
Draws
36%
Paulinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo SP come out ahead of Paulinense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo SP's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 20%
Paulinense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP Paulinense
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 0
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.2 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinense vs Flamengo SP
0:1
May 2, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Paulinense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Facundini T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paulinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP 42 / 100
Paulinense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP Paulinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Paulinense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Flamengo SP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SP VS Paulinense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SP

(Home)
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
Page 1 of 6

Paulinense

(Away)
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1
Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1
Independente SP
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0
Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1
Paulinense
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)