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Flaminia vs Fezzanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Lunghi G.
74' Event
Ricozzi S.
83' Event
Cantatore F.

AI Match Summary

Fezzanese in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fezzanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Flaminia
30%
Draws
37%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fezzanese haven't matched Flaminia's recent run of results.
  • Fezzanese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 20%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Fezzanese
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Fezzanese
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Flaminia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricozzi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lunghi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantatore F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 10 / 100
Fezzanese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flaminia scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Fezzanese has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Flaminia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Fezzanese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.2
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
Page 1 of 6

Fezzanese

(Away)
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0
Fezzanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)