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Fleetwood Town vs Oldham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Neal H.
45' Event
Drummond K.
Assist: Kavanagh C.
59'
Sub
Nevitt E. In: Fondop M.
Out: Nevitt E.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Fleetwood Town and Oldham finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fleetwood Town
30%
Draws
37%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oldham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Oldham's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Fleetwood Town have produced (1.43).
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 19%
Oldham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleetwood Town Oldham
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy
Oldham vs Fleetwood Town
1:0
Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham
1:1
Nov 13, 2019 EFL Trophy
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleetwood Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Drummond K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 36 / 100
Oldham 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oldham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleetwood Town found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Oldham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Fleetwood Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleetwood Town VS Oldham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

(Home)
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1
Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2
Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Rotherham
10 Oct
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Walsall
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Oldham

(Away)
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1
Oldham
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2
Leeds U21
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0
Accrington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 12 8 1 3 19:12 25
2 Barnet 11 6 4 1 24:16 22
3 Cheltenham 13 6 3 4 22:22 21
4 Crewe 13 5 6 2 16:16 21
5 York City 12 5 5 2 21:13 20
6 Walsall 11 4 7 0 16:7 19
7 Chesterfield 13 5 4 4 23:17 19
8 Exeter 13 5 4 4 10:7 19
9 Accrington 13 4 6 3 22:16 18
10 Shrewsbury 13 5 3 5 16:20 18
11 Grimsby 13 4 5 4 19:16 17
12 Gillingham 13 4 5 4 18:18 17
13 Tranmere 13 3 7 3 16:16 16
14 Swindon 13 4 4 5 13:16 16
15 Bristol Rovers 13 5 1 7 16:20 16
16 Newport 13 3 6 4 16:16 15
17 Rochdale 13 4 3 6 15:22 15
18 Fleetwood Town 13 3 5 5 15:17 14
19 Northampton 11 3 4 4 8:8 13
20 Oldham 12 3 3 6 14:18 12
21 Colchester 12 2 6 4 11:16 12
22 Rotherham 13 2 6 5 17:23 12
23 Port Vale 11 3 3 5 6:12 12
24 Crawley Town 11 1 3 7 12:21 6
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)