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Fleury 91 vs Caen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
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Match Events

30' Event
Gnanduillet A.
Assist: Botella I.
39' Event
Farade K.
Assist: Lavigne V.
46'
Sub
Lavigne V. In: Khetir C.
Out: Lavigne V.

AI Match Summary

Fleury 91 in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleury 91.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Fleury 91
15%
Draws
40%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fleury 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Caen at 1.79 per game, Fleury 91 at 1.55.
  • Win probability leans Fleury 91's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 13%
Caen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Caen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Caen
3:2
Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Fleury 91
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Caen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdier Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Farade K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnanduillet A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaby Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 57 / 100
Caen 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Caen let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Fleury 91 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Caen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
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Caen

(Away)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)