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Fleury 91 vs Rouen Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Bovis E.
46'
Karamoko H.
49'
Farade K.

AI Match Summary

Rouen in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fleury 91
20%
Draws
47%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fleury 91 lately — more wins on the board than Rouen.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 16%
Rouen Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Rouen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Rouen
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Fleury 91
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Rouen vs Fleury 91
0:0
Sep 12, 2020 National 1 - Group A
Fleury 91 vs Rouen
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 National 1 - Group B
Fleury 91 vs Rouen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Farade K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Faye S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 31 / 100
Rouen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rouen has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Fleury 91 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Rouen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury 91
Page 1 of 6

Rouen

(Away)
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)