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Fleury 91 W vs Auxerre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Terrain Walter Felder, Fleury Merogis
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Fleury 91 W have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Auxerre W's 1.69 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Fleury 91 W have won 1 to Auxerre W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.63) point toward Fleury 91 W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fleury 91 W
20%
Draws
42%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre W average 1.69 goals a game right now, well clear of Fleury 91 W's 1.57.
  • Model gives Fleury 91 W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 14%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 W Auxerre W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Auxerre W vs Fleury 91 W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 W 35 / 100
Auxerre W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fleury 91 W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Auxerre W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Fleury 91 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 W VS Auxerre W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91 W

(Home)
21 Oct
Lens W
1 : 4
Fleury 91 W
18 Oct
Marseille W
2 : 2
Fleury 91 W
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre W

(Away)
21 Oct
Auxerre W
5 : 1
Nice W
17 Oct
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Auxerre W
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)