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Fleury 91 W vs OL Lyonnes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Terrain Walter Felder, Fleury Merogis
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tarciane
Assist: Brand J.
9' Event
Chossenotte S.
11' Event
Dumornay D. M.
Assist: Egurrola D.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between Fleury 91 W and OL Lyonnes W finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OL Lyonnes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fleury 91 W
20%
Draws
52%
OL Lyonnes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleury 91 W haven't matched OL Lyonnes W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans OL Lyonnes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and OL Lyonnes W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 10%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 W OL Lyonnes W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.63 3.61
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:7
Mar 21, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Fleury 91 W
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Fleury 91 W
4:0
Sep 20, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs OL Lyonnes W
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chossenotte S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumornay D. M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tarciane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 W 10 / 100
OL Lyonnes W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 W OL Lyonnes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Fleury 91 W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Fleury 91 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

OL Lyonnes W let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 W VS OL Lyonnes W
0.88 Goals Scored 4.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91 W

(Home)
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

OL Lyonnes W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)