Sport Picks
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle 
Match Events
9'
9'
Bouaziz W.
Assist: Aradj Y.
22'
22'
Farade K.
53'
53'
Bouaziz W.
Assist: Oudjani A.
AI Match Summary
Aubagne FC in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aubagne FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleury 91
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aubagne FC haven't matched Fleury 91's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fleury 91's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Aubagne FC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 20%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fleury 91 | Aubagne FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne FC
1:2
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Fleury 91
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fleury 91 Compare
Top Goalscorer Farade K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Aubagne FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouaziz W.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fleury 91 49 / 100
Aubagne FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fleury 91 Aubagne FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aubagne FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Fleury 91 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Fleury 91 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fleury 91 VS Aubagne FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fleury 91
(Home) 03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
20 Aug
Fleury 91
0 : 2 Orleans
Page 1 of 4
Aubagne FC
(Away) 03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1 Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0 Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0 Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1 Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0 Aubagne FC
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0 Aubagne FC
20 Aug
Caen
1 : 0 Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
