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Fleury 91 vs Bourg Peronnas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Le Mehaute Y.
42'
Sub
Lefebvre G. In: Hervieu L.
Out: Lefebvre G.
43'
Vogt Q.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Fleury 91 and Bourg Peronnas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleury 91.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fleury 91
30%
Draws
12%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleury 91 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fleury 91 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 68%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Bourg Peronnas
3:0
Oct 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Fleury 91
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Bourg Peronnas vs Fleury 91
0:4
Sep 9, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Fleury 91 vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Mehaute Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 95 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Bourg Peronnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bourg Peronnas let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Fleury 91 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Bourg Peronnas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
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Bourg Peronnas

(Away)
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)