Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury-Merogis vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fleury-Merogis play Le Puy-en-Velay in the National 2025/2026. Fleury-Merogis are favorites here. Recently, Fleury-Merogis averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Le Puy-en-Velay averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Fleury-Merogis won 1, Le Puy-en-Velay won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Fleury-Merogis and 1.00 for Le Puy-en-Velay. This points to a Fleury-Merogis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fleury-Merogis
6%
Draws
4%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fleury-Merogis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis demonstrates higher offensive output (2.13 avg goals) than Le Puy-en-Velay (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fleury-Merogis.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 20%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Le Puy-en-Velay
4:0
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Fleury-Merogis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Farade K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 85 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Le Puy-en-Velay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury-Merogis scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fleury-Merogis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Le Puy-en-Velay
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027