Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Niakate S.
41'
Sub
Lambese S. In: Bovis E.
Out: Lambese S.
45'
Leleve R.

AI Match Summary

Fleury 91 in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleury 91.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fleury 91
30%
Draws
29%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Fleury 91 at 1.45 per game, Valenciennes at 1.3.
  • Model gives Fleury 91 a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fleury 91 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 20%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 Valenciennes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Fleury 91
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes
2:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Fleury 91
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Farade K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belliard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Valenciennes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 67 / 100
Valenciennes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Valenciennes let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Fleury 91 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 VS Valenciennes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91

(Home)
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury 91
Page 1 of 6

Valenciennes

(Away)
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)