Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury-Merogis vs Valenciennes

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Niakate S.
41'
Sub
Lambese S. In: Bovis E.
Out: Lambese S.
45'
Leleve R.

AI Match Summary

Fleury-Merogis in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleury-Merogis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fleury-Merogis
6%
Draws
90%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valenciennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fleury-Merogis lately — more wins on the board than Valenciennes.
  • Model gives Valenciennes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 20%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Valenciennes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Valenciennes
2:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Fleury-Merogis
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Farade K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belliard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valenciennes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 10 / 100
Valenciennes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenciennes has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Fleury-Merogis found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Valenciennes has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Valenciennes
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
09 May
Orleans
2 : 0
Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 7

Valenciennes

(Away)
18 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Valenciennes
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Valenciennes
02 May
Sochaux
1 : 1
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)