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Flora vs Harju JK Laagri

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flora play Harju JK Laagri in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flora averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Harju JK Laagri averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Flora won 4, Harju JK Laagri won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Flora and 1.19 for Harju JK Laagri. This points to a Flora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Flora
15%
Draws
32%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Flora picked up more points recently compared to Harju JK Laagri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Flora Clean Sheet 20%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.16 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
5:0
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
3:1
May 9, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 52 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Harju JK Laagri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Flora & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flora attacking → ← attacking Harju JK Laagri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Harju JK Laagri let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Flora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Harju JK Laagri lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 43
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Tammeka Tartu1782720:2126
6Parnu JK Vaprus1872922:3423
7Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
8Nomme Utd18611134:4319
9Kuressaare18521117:3017
10Narva19311512:4610