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Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Lindmae R.
43' Event
Kanter J.
Own Goal
46' Event
Alev P.
Assist: Reilson J.

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Flora Tallinn U21
20%
Draws
51%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Flora Tallinn U21.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Flora Tallinn U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Elva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.37 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
1:2
Aug 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:3
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindmae R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alev P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 76 / 100
Elva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elva conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Flora Tallinn U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Elva
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)