Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 host Nomme Utd U21 in the Esiliiga. This one's hard to separate. Nomme Utd U21 have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Flora Tallinn U21 have conceded 1.59 and scored 2.41. Past meetings favor Flora Tallinn U21 slightly — 0-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.31) point toward Flora Tallinn U21. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Flora Tallinn U21
15%
Draws
48%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 have won more games recently than Nomme Utd U21.
  • Win probability leans Flora Tallinn U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.41 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:1
Jun 30, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
May 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 58 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nomme Utd U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Flora Tallinn U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)