Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Harju JK Laagri

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Kriis K.
31'
Sammul R.
59'
Sub
Eerme K. In: Kelement M.
Out: Eerme K.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Flora and Harju JK Laagri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Flora
20%
Draws
28%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Harju JK Laagri haven't matched Flora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Flora's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Flora Clean Sheet 68%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
5:0
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalimullin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 59 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Harju JK Laagri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Flora remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Harju JK Laagri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Harju JK Laagri
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Harju JK Laagri

(Away)
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
29 Aug
Nomme Utd
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)