Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Harju JK Laagri

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Kriis K.
31'
Sammul R.
59'
Sub
Eerme K. In: Kelement M.
Out: Eerme K.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Flora and Harju JK Laagri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Flora
20%
Draws
42%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Harju JK Laagri haven't matched Flora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Harju JK Laagri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Flora Clean Sheet 11%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
5:0
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalimullin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 10 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Harju JK Laagri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Harju JK Laagri conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Flora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Harju JK Laagri
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
02 Aug
Flora
1 : 0
Harju JK Laagri
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1
Flora
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
14 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 2
Flora
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Harju JK Laagri

(Away)
02 Aug
Flora
1 : 0
Harju JK Laagri
23 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
8 : 0
Rae Spordikool
19 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
5 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
10 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0
Narva
05 Jul
Tammeka Tartu
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 21 15 5 1 55:17 50
2 Kalju 22 12 5 5 40:17 41
3 Flora 20 13 0 7 40:21 39
4 Paide Linnameeskond 21 10 5 6 33:28 35
5 Parnu JK Vaprus 21 8 3 10 29:39 27
6 Tammeka Tartu 19 8 2 9 22:31 26
7 Nomme Utd 22 8 1 13 40:53 25
8 Harju JK Laagri 22 8 1 13 32:38 25
9 Kuressaare 22 6 3 13 22:36 21
10 Narva 22 5 1 16 17:50 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)