Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Andrade
45'
Hoim O.
47' Event
Alamaa S.
Assist: Zenjov S.

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Flora
15%
Draws
35%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Flora have won more games recently than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Flora Clean Sheet 11%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2
Jun 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2
May 23, 2026 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:5
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:2
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Paide Linnameeskond vs Flora
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Alamaa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Darboe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 30 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flora scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Flora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Paide Linnameeskond
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)