Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Jurgenson M.
63'
63'
Jurgenson M.
65'
65'
Sorga E.
AI Match Summary
Flora in this Estonian Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Flora lately — more wins on the board than Torva JK.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Flora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Flora Clean Sheet 20%
Torva JK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flora | Torva JK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 11 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 2.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2016 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Torva JK
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flora Compare
Top Goalscorer Jurgenson M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sorga E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Torva JK Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flora 31 / 100
Torva JK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flora Torva JK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Flora scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Flora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Torva JK has conceded goals in 73% of their last 11 outings.
Scoring Trends
Flora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Flora
(Home) 20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1 Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1 Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2 Paide Linnameeskond
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3 Kuressaare
Page 1 of 4
Torva JK
(Away) 17 Jun
Torva JK
1 : 3 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
28 Sept
Flora
5 : 0 Torva JK
24 Jul
Ambla
2 : 5 Torva JK
12 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
2 : 0 Torva JK
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7 Torva JK
Page 1 of 3
28 Sept
Flora
5 : 0 Torva JK
24 Jul
Ambla
2 : 5 Torva JK
12 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
2 : 0 Torva JK
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7 Torva JK
08 Sept
SK EPMU Tartu
1 : 2 Torva JK
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tulevik 4
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Maardu United -
TBD -
Roosu -
Sillamae Kalev -
Tartu Ulikool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
Castovanni Eagles -
Pedajamae -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Merkuur Tartu 6
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Koeru 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 1
Kadakas 2
Levadia Tallinn III 8
Raudteetoolised 0
Fellin 0
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Santos Tartu 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Tallinna Kalev 14
Paduvere SK Illi 0
IceBears 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Helios 2
SK Taaksi 3
Flora U19 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
Lelle 1
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 6
Tallinna Depoo 0
TBD -
Viimsi JK 2 -
Jogeva Wolves 7
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Rakvere 13
FC Sssolutions 0
Tabasalu 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Nomme Utd 24
Oismae Torm 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Kalju 8
Tallinn Forza 0
TBD -
Narva -
Kose -
TBD -
Enamasti Pealekata 0
JK Poseidon 7
Torva JK -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 2 0
Ambla 4
Tartu JK Welco 6
Igiliikur 0
FCP Parnu 0
Flora 11
Levadia -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Raplamaa 4
Rada Kuusalu 0
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
FC Tartu -
TBD -
Kaitseliit -
Eston Villa -
Tallinn Piraaja 11
Tallinna Wolves 1
TBD -
FCI Tallinn -
Narva United 2
Otepaa 1
FC Ararat -
Jarva-Jaani -
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 2
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Valga Warrior 0
Twister Tallinn 7
Kalju III -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa 4
Navi Vutiselts 0
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Terav Sats 2
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Soccernet 8
Jogeva Wolves II 1
Vaatsa Vald -
Kuressaare -
1/32-finals
Tulevik 13
Loo JK 0
Maardu United 2
Sillamae Kalev 10
Tartu Ulikool 3
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Castovanni Eagles 0
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Merkuur Tartu 3
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Kadakas 5
Levadia Tallinn III 4
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Elva 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
SK Taaksi 5
Flora U19 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Imavere Forss 0
Molycorp Silmet 2
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Rakvere 5
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 2
Narva 0
Kose 0
JK Poseidon 2
Torva JK 5
Ambla 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Flora 8
Levadia 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Raplamaa 3
Raasiku Joker 4
FC Tartu 5
Eston Villa 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Narva United 4
Jarva-Jaani 1
TransferWise 1
Viimsi JK 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Twister Tallinn -
Kalju III 0
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Marjamaa -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva 0
Terav Sats 3
Legion 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Soccernet 1
Kuressaare 5
1/16-finals
Tulevik 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Tartu Ulikool 4
SK EPMU Tartu 6
Rumori Calcio 4
Kadakas 3
Levadia Tallinn III 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Tallinna Kalev 5
SK Taaksi 0
Flora U19 5
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 10
JK Poseidon 0
Torva JK 0
Flora 5
Levadia 7
Raasiku Joker 0
FC Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 11
Narva United 1
Viimsi JK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Marjamaa 2
Terav Sats 0
Legion 2
Kuressaare 3
1/8-finals
Tulevik 5
SK EPMU Tartu 0
Rumori Calcio 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev 11
Molycorp Silmet 0
FCI Tallinn II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Kalju 1
Flora 0
Levadia 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Marjamaa 0
Kuressaare 5
Quarter-finals
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Kuressaare 1
Semi-finals
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 0
Final
Tammeka Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 2
