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Flora W vs Mgarr W

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Štadión Spartaka Myjava, Myjava
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Matson G.
51' Event
Presley C.
Assist: Villegas A.
54'
Ivanova A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Flora W
25%
Draws
35%
Mgarr W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Flora W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora W lately — more wins on the board than Mgarr W.
  • Model gives Flora W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Flora W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mgarr W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Flora W Clean Sheet 10%
Mgarr W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora W Mgarr W
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 20 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 3.52 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Flora W vs Mgarr W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Mgarr W Compare

Top Goalscorer Presley C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora W 83 / 100
Mgarr W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora W Mgarr W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Flora W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mgarr W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 2 matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora W VS Mgarr W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora W

(Home)
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
06 Sept
Viimsi JK W
1 : 3
Flora W
02 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 5
Flora W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

Mgarr W

(Away)
25 Jul
Myjava W
6 : 1
Mgarr W
22 Jul
Flora W
0 : 4
Mgarr W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
PAOK W 3
Hapoel Jerusalem W 1
Neftci Baku W 1
Buducnost W 0
KI Klaksvik W 0
Ludogorets W 3
Mitrovica W 10
Zimbru Chisinau W 0
Glentoran W 1
Riga FC W 4
Pyunik Yerevan W 2
Wrexham W 4
Czarni Sosnowiec W 7
WFC Lusso W 1
Athlone W 4
ZFK Skopje 2014 W 0
Myjava W -
TBD -
Flora W 0
Mgarr W 4
Final
PAOK W 3
Neftci Baku W 0
Ludogorets W 0
Mitrovica W 2
Riga FC W 4
Wrexham W 1
Czarni Sosnowiec W 3
Athlone W 1
Myjava W 6
Mgarr W 1