Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Floreat Athena vs Subiaco

Australia Australia

WA State League Litis Stadium, Leederville
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Young J.
15' Event
Langley J.
25' Event
Wassholm T.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Floreat Athena and Subiaco finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floreat Athena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Floreat Athena
20%
Draws
35%
Subiaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floreat Athena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Floreat Athena come out ahead of Subiaco on wins alone.
  • Floreat Athena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Floreat Athena here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Floreat Athena Clean Sheet 20%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floreat Athena Subiaco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.47 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Floreat Athena
1:2
May 8, 2026 WA State League
Floreat Athena vs Subiaco
5:4
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Subiaco vs Floreat Athena
1:4
Aug 18, 2018 NPL Western Australia
Floreat Athena vs Subiaco
3:2
May 5, 2018 NPL Western Australia
Subiaco vs Floreat Athena
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floreat Athena Compare

Top Goalscorer Young J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Langley J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Despotovski T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morrison K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floreat Athena 85 / 100
Subiaco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floreat Athena Subiaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floreat Athena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floreat Athena's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Subiaco conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Floreat Athena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Floreat Athena VS Subiaco
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floreat Athena

(Home)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Mandurah City
08 Aug
Floreat Athena
7 : 1
Cockburn City
01 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 0
Kingsley Westside
25 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 2
Floreat Athena
Page 1 of 6

Subiaco

(Away)
12 Sept
Balga SC
3 : 4
Subiaco
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)