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Floresta EC U20 vs Ceara U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
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Match Events

6' Event
Mendes F.
45' Event
Enzo Lodovico
83' Event
Queiroz J.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 game between Floresta EC U20 and Ceara U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Floresta EC U20
20%
Draws
38%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floresta EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara U20 come out ahead of Floresta EC U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Floresta EC U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.53 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Ceara U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Enzo Lodovico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Queiroz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC U20 35 / 100
Ceara U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Floresta EC U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ceara U20 conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC U20 VS Ceara U20
1 Goals Scored 2.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Floresta EC U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
26 Jul
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
04 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Ceara U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresta EC U20 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
2 Fortaleza U20 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Ferroviario U20 7 4 2 1 6:6 14
4 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
5 Atletico Cearense U20 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
6 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 7 2 2 3 13:16 8
7 Juazeiro CE U20 7 1 0 6 6:34 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 5 2 0 20:4 17
2 Tirol U20 7 3 4 0 17:3 13
3 Vila Real U20 7 2 3 2 15:8 9
4 Anjos do Ceu U20 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
5 Horizonte U20 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Caucaia U20 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
7 Tiangua EC U20 7 0 0 7 4:15 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)