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Floresta EC vs Anapolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Matheus M.
43'
Matheus M.
46'
Sub
Carioca In: Joao Borim
Out: Carioca

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Floresta EC and Anapolis finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Floresta EC
30%
Draws
47%
Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Anapolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 23%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Anapolis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Anapolis
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 Serie C
Anapolis vs Floresta EC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Anapolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 33 / 100
Anapolis 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anapolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Floresta EC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Anapolis has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Floresta EC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Anapolis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

Anapolis

(Away)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)