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Floresta EC vs Cariri FC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2025 Domingão
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mateus Ludke
50'
Sub
Enio E. In: Kaue
Out: Enio E.
50'
Sub
Ronald In: Batista Bisneto F.
Out: Ronald

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC in this Cearense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Floresta EC
30%
Draws
34%
Cariri FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Floresta EC have won more games recently than Cariri FC.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Floresta EC taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 20%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Cariri FC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2025 Cearense
Floresta EC vs Cariri FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Ludke
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Furlan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista Bisneto F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 36 / 100
Cariri FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Cariri FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariri FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Floresta EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cariri FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Cariri FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 17%
63% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresta EC32104:27
2Iguatu31116:44
3Barbalha30305:53
4Cariri FC30122:61