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Floresta EC vs Figueirense

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Afonso
46'
Sub
Choco In: Dudu
Out: Choco
56'
Sub
Lucas Alves In: Igor Bolt
Out: Lucas Alves

AI Match Summary

Figueirense in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Figueirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Floresta EC
35%
Draws
32%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Figueirense lately — more wins on the board than Floresta EC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Figueirense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.89 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Figueirense
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Serie C
Figueirense vs Floresta EC
1:0
May 20, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Figueirense
0:2
Jul 24, 2023 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Figueirense
1:1
Apr 24, 2022 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Figueirense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Figueirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Bolt
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyuri
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 42 / 100
Figueirense 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Figueirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Floresta EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Figueirense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Figueirense

(Away)
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2
Ferroviaria
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0
Volta Redonda
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 17 9 3 5 25:19 30
2 Internacional de Limeira 17 8 4 5 22:20 28
3 Botafogo PB 17 8 3 6 23:18 27
4 Paysandu PA 16 8 2 6 25:22 26
5 Guarani 16 7 5 4 29:17 26
6 Santa Cruz 17 7 4 6 17:14 25
7 Ypiranga FC 16 7 3 6 22:20 24
8 Amazonas 17 7 3 7 18:20 24
9 SER Caxias do Sul 17 6 6 5 17:14 24
10 Ferroviaria 16 6 6 4 17:14 24
11 Maringa FC 17 6 6 5 29:29 24
12 Floresta EC 17 6 6 5 18:19 24
13 Maranhao 17 6 6 5 14:15 24
14 Figueirense 17 6 6 5 17:21 24
15 Ituano 17 6 4 7 18:18 22
16 Volta Redonda 17 6 3 8 12:21 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 17 4 6 7 18:19 18
18 Itabaiana 17 4 5 8 13:21 17
19 Anapolis 17 4 3 10 15:21 15
20 Confianca 17 3 4 10 11:18 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)