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Floresta EC vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC host Ituano in the Serie C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Floresta EC at 0.97 goals for, 1.1 against; Ituano at 1.07 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Floresta EC have won 0 to Ituano's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Floresta EC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Floresta EC
20%
Draws
22%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ituano at 1.07 per game, Floresta EC at 0.97.
  • Floresta EC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 20%
Ituano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Ituano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Serie C
Ituano vs Floresta EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 40 / 100
Ituano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ituano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Floresta EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ituano lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Ituano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

Ituano

(Away)
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 18 9 4 5 26:20 31
2 Botafogo PB 18 9 3 6 26:19 30
3 Paysandu PA 18 9 2 7 26:26 29
4 Internacional de Limeira 18 8 5 5 22:20 29
5 Santa Cruz 18 8 4 6 19:14 28
6 Ypiranga FC 18 8 4 6 25:22 28
7 Guarani 18 7 6 5 32:22 27
8 Ferroviaria 18 7 6 5 21:15 27
9 Maranhao 18 7 6 5 18:16 27
10 Maringa FC 18 7 6 5 31:30 27
11 Floresta EC 18 7 6 5 20:20 27
12 Amazonas 18 7 4 7 19:21 25
13 Figueirense 18 6 7 5 17:21 25
14 SER Caxias do Sul 18 6 6 6 17:16 24
15 Ituano 18 6 4 8 18:19 22
16 Volta Redonda 18 6 3 9 13:23 21
17 Anapolis 18 5 3 10 16:21 18
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 18 4 6 8 19:21 18
19 Itabaiana 18 4 5 9 14:25 17
20 Confianca 18 3 4 11 11:19 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)