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Floresta EC vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Vagalume
(Penalty)
24' Event
Felipe Cruz
26'
Will

AI Match Summary

Maranhao in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maranhao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Floresta EC
20%
Draws
38%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Floresta EC at 1.13 per game, Maranhao at 0.5.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Floresta EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Maranhao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maranhao
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeam
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Cruz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 51 / 100
Maranhao 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maranhao conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Floresta EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Floresta EC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Maranhao
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

Maranhao

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)