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Floresta EC vs Maringa FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Jhony Douglas In: Danrley
Out: Jhony Douglas
66'
Sub
Valdo In: Islan
Out: Valdo
67'
Sub
Gabriel Souza In: Ronald Camarao
Out: Gabriel Souza

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Floresta EC
35%
Draws
40%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Maringa FC have won more games recently than Floresta EC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 25%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Maringa FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maringa FC
0:1
Jul 27, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maringa FC
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Floresta EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald Camarao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 37 / 100
Maringa FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Maringa FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Floresta EC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Maringa FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Floresta EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Maringa FC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

Maringa FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)