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Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rafinha
39'
Jhony Douglas
42'
Rafinha

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Floresta EC and Santa Cruz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Floresta EC
35%
Draws
45%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Floresta EC haven't matched Santa Cruz's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 23%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Oct 20, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC
3:4
Aug 7, 2021 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Renato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 33 / 100
Santa Cruz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Floresta EC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Floresta EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Santa Cruz
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)