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Floresti vs Iskra Ribnita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Dinamo, Tighina
Floresti Logo

Floresti

3 - 1
FT
Iskra Ribnita Logo

Iskra Ribnita

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mihailov M.
49' Event
Solodovnicov N.
74' Event
Osipov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Floresti in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Floresti
15%
Draws
54%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Iskra Ribnita have won more games recently than Floresti.
  • Model gives Iskra Ribnita a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Floresti Clean Sheet 10%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresti Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Floresti
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Super Liga
Floresti vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Floresti vs Iskra Ribnita
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Floresti
1:8
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 1
Floresti vs Iskra Ribnita
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresti Compare

Top Goalscorer Solodovnicov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osipov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihailov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresti 26 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresti Iskra Ribnita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Ribnita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Floresti scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Iskra Ribnita let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Floresti has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floresti VS Iskra Ribnita
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresti

(Home)
01 Sept
Floresti
0 : 3
Edinet
27 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Floresti
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
09 May
Floresti
1 : 1
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

Iskra Ribnita

(Away)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)