Sport Picks

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Florgrade vs CD Gouveia

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Almeida I.
73' Event
Costa G.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Florgrade and CD Gouveia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Florgrade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Florgrade
15%
Draws
20%
CD Gouveia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Florgrade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Florgrade are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Florgrade CD Gouveia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs CD Gouveia
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs Florgrade
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Gouveia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Florgrade 95 / 100
CD Gouveia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Florgrade CD Gouveia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gouveia has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Florgrade's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Florgrade has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Florgrade VS CD Gouveia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Florgrade

(Home)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 6

CD Gouveia

(Away)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)