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Floriana vs Zabbar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Premier League Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Moriceau T.
24' Event
Beerman M.
40'
Micallef J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Floriana and Zabbar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zabbar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Floriana
35%
Draws
26%
Zabbar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Floriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Floriana come out ahead of Zabbar on wins alone.
  • Floriana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Floriana Clean Sheet 18%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floriana Zabbar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Zabbar
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Zabbar vs Floriana
0:3
Jan 28, 2026 FA Trophy
Floriana vs Zabbar
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Zabbar
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Zabbar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Beerman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zabbar Compare

Top Goalscorer Moriceau T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jovicic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floriana 85 / 100
Zabbar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floriana Zabbar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floriana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floriana's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zabbar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Floriana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floriana VS Zabbar
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Floriana

(Home)
22 Oct
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Floriana
18 Oct
Floriana
3 : 3
Mosta FC
11 Oct
Floriana
1 : 1
Balzan FC
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Floriana
2 : 5
Marsaxlokk
Page 1 of 6

Zabbar

(Away)
21 Oct
Zabbar
2 : 3
Sliema
17 Oct
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Zabbar
10 Oct
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Zabbar
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 10 7 1 2 22:9 22
2 Marsaxlokk 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
3 Sliema 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Floriana 9 4 4 1 21:12 16
5 Hamrun 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
6 Birkirkara 10 4 2 4 12:9 14
7 Mosta FC 9 3 4 2 13:13 13
8 Hibernians 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
9 Balzan FC 10 2 5 3 12:12 11
10 Zabbar 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
11 Gzira 10 0 5 5 9:21 5
12 Birzebbuga 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)