Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flower City Union vs Manhattan

USA USA

US Open Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sangary S.
13'
Cavanaugh N.
36' Event
Elias S.

AI Match Summary

Flower City Union in this US Open Cup 2023 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Flower City Union
30%
Draws
28%
Manhattan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flower City Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flower City Union lately — more wins on the board than Manhattan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Flower City Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flower City Union, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Flower City Union Clean Sheet 10%
Manhattan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flower City Union Manhattan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.3 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2023 US Open Cup
Flower City Union vs Manhattan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flower City Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Elias S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diakhate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Manhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Karamoko H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flower City Union 30 / 100
Manhattan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flower City Union Manhattan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manhattan has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Flower City Union's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Flower City Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flower City Union VS Manhattan
0 Goals Scored 1.75
9 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flower City Union

(Home)
19 Mar
Lexington
9 : 0
Flower City Union
11 Nov
Michigan Stars
0 : 1
Flower City Union
05 Nov
Chattanooga
0 : 1
Flower City Union
30 Oct
LA Force
2 : 4
Flower City Union
14 Oct
Flower City Union
0 : 2
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 6

Manhattan

(Away)
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Manhattan
6 : 0
New Jersey Copa
02 Jul
Hudson Valley
1 : 1
Manhattan
20 Jun
Manhattan
3 : 3
Hudson Valley
16 Jun
Manhattan
0 : 4
Long Island
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Austin FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico -
TBD -
UDA Soccer 1
Park City 0
Phoenix Rising -
TBD -
TBD -
Greenville Triumph -
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forward Madison -
TBD -
Chicago House 1
Bavarian United SC 0
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Omaha -
TBD -
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
Club de Lyon 2 0
Nona 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
Tulsa Athletic 1
Twin City Toucans 0
Detroit City -
TBD -
TBD -
Gold Star FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
Project 51O 0
Crossfire Redmond 3
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
El Farolito 3
International San Francisco 0
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
TBD -
TBD -
Northern Colorado -
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
Ventura 1
Capo 4
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
TBD -
LA Force -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Central Valley Fuego -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Diego Loyal -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion San Diego -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers -
TBD -
Cleveland 1
Lionsbridge 0
FC Cincinnati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
TBD -
Lexington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
Hartford City FC 1
Lansdowne Yonkers 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochester New York -
Maryland Bobcats -
TBD -
West Chester United 1
Ocean City 3
Loudoun United -
TBD -
TBD -
North Carolina FC -
Flower City Union -
TBD -
Manhattan 2
Motown 1
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
Michigan Stars -
Chattanooga Red Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
Tennessee Tempo 0
Menace 3
TBD -
Chattanooga -
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
One Knoxville -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
Miami FC -
TBD -
Jacksonville Armada U23 2
Miami United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Miami -
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
Savannah Clovers -
Charlotte Independence -
TBD -
Appalachian FC 3
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Nashville SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club de Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
1/64-finals
Austin FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 6
UDA Soccer 0
Phoenix Rising 1
Greenville Triumph 0
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
Forward Madison 2
Chicago House 3
St. Louis City -
TBD -
Union Omaha 2
El Paso Locomotive 0
Tampa Bay 2
Nona 0
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
FC Tulsa 0
Tulsa Athletic 1
Detroit City 1
Gold Star FC 0
TBD -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Sacramento Republic 5
Crossfire Redmond 4
Oakland Roots 3
El Farolito 1
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Colorado Springs 1
Northern Colorado 3
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
Orange County SC 5
Capo 0
Las Vegas Lights 4
LA Force 0
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Central Valley Fuego 1
Monterey Bay 3
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
San Diego Loyal 2
Albion San Diego 0
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 3
Cleveland 2
FC Cincinnati -
TBD -
Louisville City 1
Lexington 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Hartford Athletic 3
Lansdowne Yonkers 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Rochester New York 0
Maryland Bobcats 3
Ocean City 2
Loudoun United 2
North Carolina FC 1
Flower City Union 3
Manhattan 1
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Michigan Stars 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1
Birmingham Legion 4
Menace 1
Chattanooga 4
Atlanta United -
TBD -
One Knoxville 1
Memphis 901 2
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 2
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
Miami FC 3
Jacksonville Armada U23 1
TBD -
Inter Miami -
Charleston 4
Savannah Clovers 1
Charlotte Independence 2
Appalachian FC 0
Nashville SC -
TBD -
Club de Lyon 1
San Antonio FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
1/32-finals
Austin FC -
TBD -
New Mexico 2
Phoenix Rising 1
Chicago Fire 3
Chicago House 0
St. Louis City 5
Union Omaha 1
Tampa Bay 0
Houston Dynamo 1
Sporting Kansas City 3
Tulsa Athletic 0
Detroit City 1
Minnesota United 3
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Sacramento Republic 1
Oakland Roots 0
Colorado Rapids 3
Northern Colorado 1
Portland Timbers 3
Orange County SC 1
Las Vegas Lights 1
Real Salt Lake 3
Monterey Bay 1
San Jose Earthquakes 0
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders 5
San Diego Loyal 4
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
DC United 1
Richmond Kickers 0
FC Cincinnati 1
Louisville City 0
TBD -
New York City -
New England Revolution 2
Hartford Athletic 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Maryland Bobcats 0
Loudoun United 5
Flower City Union 0
Columbus Crew 1
Indy Eleven 0
Birmingham Legion 2
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 1
Memphis 901 2
Charlotte FC 4
South Georgia Tormenta 1
TBD -
Orlando City -
Miami FC 2
Inter Miami 3
Charleston 1
Charlotte Independence 0
Nashville SC 1
San Antonio FC 0
TBD -
FC Dallas -
1/16-finals
Austin FC 2
New Mexico 0
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 1
Houston Dynamo 1
Sporting Kansas City 0
Minnesota United 4
Philadelphia Union 3
Sacramento Republic 2
Colorado Rapids 4
Portland Timbers 3
Real Salt Lake 4
Monterey Bay 2
Los Angeles FC 3
Los Angeles Galaxy 3
Seattle Sounders 1
New York Red Bulls 1
DC United 0
FC Cincinnati 1
New York City 0
New England Revolution 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Loudoun United 1
Columbus Crew 5
Birmingham Legion 3
Memphis 901 0
Charlotte FC 1
Orlando City 0
Inter Miami 1
Charleston 0
Nashville SC 2
FC Dallas 0
1/8-finals
Austin FC 0
Chicago Fire 2
Houston Dynamo 4
Minnesota United 0
Colorado Rapids 0
Real Salt Lake 1
Los Angeles FC 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
New York Red Bulls 1
FC Cincinnati 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Columbus Crew 0
Birmingham Legion 1
Charlotte FC 0
Inter Miami 2
Nashville SC 1
Quarter-finals
Chicago Fire 1
Houston Dynamo 4
Real Salt Lake 3
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
FC Cincinnati 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Birmingham Legion 0
Inter Miami 1
Semi-finals
Houston Dynamo 3
Real Salt Lake 1
FC Cincinnati 3
Inter Miami 4
Final
Houston Dynamo 2
Inter Miami 1