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Floya vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Floya host Lillestrom 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Lillestrom 2 have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Floya have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.88. Head-to-head, Floya have won 3 to Lillestrom 2's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2022, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 2.25, favoring Lillestrom 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Floya
11%
Draws
80%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lillestrom 2's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Floya Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floya Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.88 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
2:0
Jun 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
0:3
Sep 8, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
3:1
Jul 21, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
3:1
Aug 6, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floya 10 / 100
Lillestrom 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floya Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Floya's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Floya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floya VS Lillestrom 2
2.88 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Floya

(Home)
27 Jun
Fauske Sprint
3 : 1
Floya
21 Jun
Floya
4 : 0
Stromsgodset 2
11 Jun
Ulfstind
3 : 0
Floya
30 May
Floya
2 : 3
Skedsmo
23 May
Bossekop
2 : 5
Floya
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
28 Jun
Lillestrom 2
5 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Jun
Lillestrom 2
10 : 1
Ulfstind
14 Jun
Fauske Sprint
4 : 3
Lillestrom 2
30 May
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Alta
26 May
Stromsgodset 2
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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