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Floya vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Woxen H.
64' Event
Bogdan H.
68' Event
Prestholt L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Floya and Lillestrom 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Floya
15%
Draws
39%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2's 3.03 goals per match outpaces what Floya have produced (2.39).
  • Win probability leans Lillestrom 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Floya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Floya Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floya Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.39 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
3:2
Aug 21, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
2:0
Jun 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
0:3
Sep 8, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
3:1
Jul 21, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdan H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorgensen Bergmo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Woxen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prestholt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floya 22 / 100
Lillestrom 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floya Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floya's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lillestrom 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Floya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floya VS Lillestrom 2
3.5 Goals Scored 3.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Floya

(Home)
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
13 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
1 : 5
Floya
05 Sept
Floya
2 : 2
Skjetten
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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