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Fluminense de Joinville vs Jaragua-SC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 game between Fluminense de Joinville and Jaragua-SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaragua-SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fluminense de Joinville
15%
Draws
0%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense de Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense de Joinville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fluminense de Joinville a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Fluminense de Joinville Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense de Joinville Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.72 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.84 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2019 Catarinense 2
Fluminense de Joinville vs Jaragua-SC
1:2
Jun 16, 2019 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Fluminense de Joinville
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense de Joinville 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense de Joinville Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense de Joinville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua-SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Fluminense de Joinville scored in 38% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaragua-SC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense de Joinville

(Home)
12 Sept
Cacador Atletico Clube
3 : 0
Fluminense de Joinville
08 Sept
Fluminense de Joinville
2 : 1
Inter de Lages
05 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Fluminense de Joinville
02 Sept
Fluminense de Joinville
0 : 5
Carlos Renaux
28 Aug
Guarani de Palhoca
0 : 1
Fluminense de Joinville
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 16 9 4 3 25:14 31
2 Almirante Barroso 16 9 4 3 24:13 31
3 Jaragua-SC 16 9 3 4 20:16 30
4 Inter de Lages 16 6 3 7 20:22 21
5 Camboriu 16 5 5 6 21:22 20
6 Fluminense de Joinville 16 5 4 7 21:20 19
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 7 6 17:20 16
8 Guarani de Palhoca 16 4 3 9 12:21 15
9 Prospera Criciuma 16 2 7 7 9:21 13
10 Blumenau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 (Play Offs)