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Fluminense-PI vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Barbosa da Silva Junior J. R.
41' Event
Leo Carvalho
46'
Sub
Alan B. In: Diego Xavier
Out: Alan B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fluminense-PI
15%
Draws
59%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Piaui have won more games recently than Fluminense-PI.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Piaui taking it.
  • Piaui arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-PI, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 23%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-PI Piaui
Matches Played 40 36
Wins 14 17
Draws 13 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie D
Piaui vs Fluminense-PI
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
3:2
Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Fluminense-PI
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbosa da Silva Junior J. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Carvalho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Piaui Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-PI 29 / 100
Piaui 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-PI Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-PI scored in 70% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Piaui conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fluminense-PI remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-PI VS Piaui
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-PI

(Home)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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